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Outreach |
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Seminar
Title: |
Evaluating Bayesian Network Inference and Learning Algorithms: Creating Problem Instances of Increasing Difficulty |
Date: |
February 8, 2006 |
Speaker(s): |
Ole Mengshoel |
Affiliation(s): |
Rockwell Scientific |
Abstract: |
Bayesian networks (BNs) are a basis for uncertainty representation, reasoning, and learning in artificial intelligence and related disciplines. Advances in algorithmic work with BNs rely on careful experimentation.
When evaluating a new BN inference algorithm it is important to know the difficulty of the BNs that are used. Likewise, a BN learning algorithm constructs a BN from a data set. In creating new BN learning algorithms, one method of testing them is to start with a BN and use it to generate this data set. A key factor in this approach is knowing the difficulty of the BN that is to be learned. This talk describes an approach to generating BNs of increasing difficulty. Building on previous research, we present and analyze two approaches, the bipartite (BPART) and multipartite (MPART) algorithms, and present novel results regarding their relationship. We consider a few structural and distributional input parameters of the BPART and MPART algorithms and show how varying them can significantly impact the generated Bayesian networks and the hardness of inference, with emphasis on the tree clustering algorithm. Among the parameters we analyze are the ratio of the number of root nodes V to the number of non-root nodes C in the network (the C/V-ratio), the regularity of the underlying graph, and the conditional probability tables. An easy-hard-harder pattern as a function of increasing C/V-ratio is found for both BPART and MPART networks.
This talk includes joint work with Dan Roth at University at Illinois and David Wilkins at Stanford University. |
Speaker's Bio: |
Dr. Ole J. Mengshoel is a research scientist in Decision Sciences at Rockwell Scientific. His current research focuses on decision support, reasoning, and learning under uncertainty - using Bayesian networks - as well as resource allocation and scheduling in real-time systems. Additional research interests include intelligent user interfaces, information assurance, evolutionary algorithms, knowledge acquisition, and knowledge engineering. Dr. Mengshoel has managed and provided hands-on leadership in a wide range of research and development projects. He has successfully developed technical results and software that have or are being matured and transitioned into the aerospace, defense, finance, education, electronic commerce, and manufacturing sectors. Dr. Mengshoel has published over 25 articles and papers in journals and conferences, and holds 3 U.S. patents. He holds a Ph.D. in Computer Science from the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign. His undergraduate degree is in Computer Science from the Norwegian Institute of Technology, Norway. Prior to joining Rockwell, he was a research scientist in the knowledge-based systems group at SINTEF, Scandinavia's largest independent research organization. |
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