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Seminar
Title:
A Reasoner for Bearing Prognostics
Date:
February 17, 2006
Speaker(s):
Kai Goebel
Affiliation(s):
GE Global Research
Abstract:

Depending on availability of models and data, different approaches can be employed to estimate remaining life in faulted components. One is to model from first principles the physics of fault initiation and propagation. Such a model must include detailed knowledge of material properties, thermodynamic and mechanical response to loading, and the mechanisms for damage creation and growth. Alternatively, an empirical model of condition-based fault propagation rate can be developed using data from experiments in which the conditions are controlled or otherwise known and the component damage level is carefully measured. These two approaches have competing advantages and disadvantages. Fusing them may produce a result that is more robust than either approach alone. Of particular interest is the potential to reduce uncertainty bounds. In this talk, we discuss such an approach and apply it to bearing prognostics. Results presented are derived from rig test data wherein multiple bearings were first seeded with small defects, then exposed to a variety of speed and load conditions similar to those encountered in aircraft engines, and run until the ensuing material liberation accumulated to a predetermined damage threshold or cage failure, whichever occurred first.

Speaker's Bio:
Dr. Kai Goebel is a senior research scientist working in the Computing & Decision Sciences Lab at GE Global Research. Dr. Goebel received his Ph.D. in Mechanical Engineering from the University of California at Berkeley in 1996. He has carried out applied research in the areas of artificial intelligence, soft computing, and information fusion. He has worked on using soft computing techniques for real time monitoring, diagnosis, and prognosis of industrial equipment such as aircraft engines, medical equipment, and power plants, and structures such as pipelines and aircraft wiring. He has also carried out research for both data fusion and decision fusion in mechanical systems as well as financial applications. He has published more than 50 technical papers in these areas. Dr. Goebel is an adjunct professor of the CS Department at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI), Troy, NY, since 1998 where he teaches classes in Soft Computing and Applied Intelligent Reasoning Systems.

 

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